CI
CACI INTERNATIONAL INC /DE/ (CACI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong Q2: revenue $2.10B (+14.5% YoY), EBITDA margin 11.1% (+180 bps YoY), adjusted EPS $5.95 (+36.5% YoY); sequential revenue grew modestly while GAAP EPS declined on higher interest/taxes and mix .
- Guidance raised again: FY25 revenue to $8.45–$8.65B, adjusted EPS to $23.87–$24.76, and FCF to at least $450M; EBITDA margin guided for “low 11%” range (CFO), implying sustained profitability mix despite Q3 timing headwinds .
- Backlog/visibility solid: TTM book-to-bill ~1.7x; backlog ~$32B (~4 years of revenue); ~95% of FY25 revenue expected from existing programs, supporting estimate stability and cash flow compounding .
- Potential stock catalysts: continued margin execution into Q4 (strongest margin quarter), integration synergies (Azure Summit, Applied Insight), and accelerating software-defined tech deliveries; quarterly award lumpiness is a tactical watch item .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Double-digit top-line and outsized profit growth: revenue $2.10B (+14.5% YoY), EBITDA $232.9M (+36.2% YoY), EBITDA margin 11.1% (+180 bps), adjusted EPS $5.95 (+36.5% YoY) .
- Strategy execution and guidance raise: “again able to raise our fiscal year 2025 guidance,” underscoring momentum and confidence in three-year targets (CEO) .
- M&A integration/synergies: Azure Summit won a ~$300M Navy award pre-close (included in backlog), integrations “on track,” validating RF/EW/SIGINT thesis (CEO) .
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What Went Wrong
- Quarter awards lumpy: Q2 awards $1.17B (−47% YoY) off a tough comp; management framed award timing but emphasized TTM 1.7x B2B .
- Cash flow below prior-year quarter: operating cash flow ex-MARPA $76.0M (−8.7% YoY); FCF $66.1M (−2.6% YoY), driven primarily by working capital timing .
- Sequential EPS dip on GAAP basis: diluted EPS fell to $4.88 from $5.33 in Q1; CFO highlighted mix/timing (pulled-forward higher-margin deliveries into Q2; lower-margin materials shifted to Q3) .
Financial Results
Overall performance vs prior periods and (if available) estimates
Segment and mix
- Revenues by Expertise vs Technology (Q2 YoY)
- Revenues by Customer (Q2 YoY mix)
- Revenues by Contract Type (Q2 YoY)
KPIs and backlog/awards
Other notable Q2 items
- Completed acquisitions of Azure Summit and Applied Insight; Azure expands SIGINT/EW/ISR reach; Applied Insight deepens cloud/AICapabilities .
- $290M NGA award for AI/geospatial expertise announced during Q2 timeframe (Dec) .
Guidance Changes
Note: Q1 initial FY25 guide was $8.1–$8.3B revenue, $22.89–$23.78 adjusted EPS, ≥$435M FCF before subsequent increases .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our second quarter reflected another exceptional period for CACI… With the momentum we see in our business, we are again able to raise our fiscal year 2025 guidance” — John Mengucci, CEO .
- “EBITDA margin… above our mid-10s expectation, primarily due to some software-defined technology deliveries pulled forward into the second quarter as well as some lower margin material purchases pushed into the third quarter” — Jeff MacLauchlan, CFO .
- “Azure Summit… received a significant award just prior to closing, a $300 million award… While this award was not included in our reported awards number, it is reflected in our backlog” — CEO .
- “Our backlog of $32 billion increased 18% from a year ago and represents just under 4 years of annual revenue” — CFO .
- “Outcome-based… firm fixed price is a positive for us… majority of our software-defined technology is delivered by our commercial businesses… behind our margin increases” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Policy/DOGE implications: Management sees DOGE as supportive for modernization, outcome-based contracting, and potential outsourcing; minimal exposure to at-risk civilian agencies (~6% of revenue) with portions (e.g., NASA, DOJ) seen as lower risk .
- Margins cadence: Expect slight sequential Q3 margin contraction from 11.1% on timing, with Q4 strongest; full-year margin still “low 11%” range .
- M&A/valuation and leverage: Multiples moderating; focus on delevering to mid-2s to 3.0x then remaining flexible/opportunistic (M&A, buybacks, debt paydown) .
- Spectral/Azure synergy: MVP complete; Spectral-enabling kits to accelerate deployment; $319M Azure mod validates thesis; multi-platform applicability (surface, ground, air) .
- Counter-UAS opportunity: Leading provider; ~5,000 solution sets/sensors deployed globally; calls for cohesive domestic strategy; view growth runway as substantial .
Estimates Context
- Consensus EPS and revenue (S&P Global) for Q2 FY25 were not retrievable at analysis time due to data access limits; we therefore mark the “Consensus” column as N/A and do not present beat/miss deltas. We recommend refreshing S&P Global consensus to quantify beats/misses once available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix-led profitability: YoY revenue +14.5% with EBITDA margin +180 bps to 11.1% reflects higher software-defined tech mix; timing suggests modest Q3 dip then strongest Q4 margin .
- Guidance momentum: Third upward reset since initial FY25 guide underscores confidence; watch for continued conversion of pipeline to awards and Q4 execution .
- Visibility/defensibility: Backlog ~$32B and ~95% FY25 revenue from existing programs de-risk delivery; trailing B2B of ~1.7x supports multi-quarter growth trajectory .
- Strategic M&A bearing fruit: Azure and Applied Insight integrations “on track”; Azure’s ~$300M win and Spectral progress highlight synergy and acceleration potential .
- Cash and leverage: Q2 FCF $66M; FY25 FCF raised to ≥$450M; leverage ~2.9x pro forma with intention to delever, preserving capital allocation flexibility .
- Execution watch items: Quarterly award lumpiness (Q2 awards −47% YoY), DSO uptick to 53 days, and working capital needs tied to growing tech portfolio .
- Thematic exposure: DOGE/outcome-based contracting, AI/ML-enabled mission solutions (e.g., NGA award), network modernization (EITaaS), and RF/SIGINT/EW (Spectral) position CACI for sustained medium-term growth .
Citations: Press release/8-K and schedules ; Q2 earnings call transcript ; Q1 FY25 8-K and call ; Q4 FY24 8-K ; other press releases (NGA award, Azure Summit) .